Primark owner ABF’s shares slide after profit warning

Ouch! Shares in Associated British Foods have dropped by over 10% after it startled the City with a profit warning at 7am.

ABF told shareholders this morning that sales growth at its Primark chain were below expections in the last 16 weeks, and that the discount clothing chain struggled in Europe and in the US.

In another blow, ABF’s food and ingredients business had “experienced mixed trading”, with sales falling more than expected in the US.

The company now expects its adjusted operating profit and adjusted earnings-per-share to be lower than last year.

In the UK, Primark’s like-for-like sales grew by 1.7% in “a difficult clothing market, particularly over Christmas”, the company says, pointing to initiatives such as “enhancing our product offer, improving price perception and increasing digital customer engagement”.

But in continental Europe, where such initiatives to the UK only recently began, like-for-like sales declined around 5.7% in the period.

George Weston, chief executive of Associated British Foods, says:

“Primark has had a challenging start to the financial year, with a mixed performance. In the UK, focused actions and investments to strengthen our customer proposition have driven improved trading and market share gains, while trading has remained weak in continental Europe.

In a challenging consumer environment, our focus is on factors within our control, including initiatives now underway in Europe aimed at improving performance. We are also making good progress to deliver Primark’s medium and longer-term growth opportunities.

Our food businesses experienced mixed trading in the period, particularly in the US where consumer demand in certain categories has continued to weaken. While we expect the tough trading conditions to continue in the short term, we remain confident in the overall prospects for the Group.”

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ABF profit warning: What the experts say

Dan Coatsworth, head of markets at AJ Bell, points out that Primark’s womenswear operation did well in the UK, helping it to grow market share…. but that boost was wiped out by problems overseas, leading to today’s profit warning from parent company ABF:

“Marks & Spencer and Card Factory have both recently bemoaned UK high street conditions, so one might have expected Primark to deliver a Grinch of a festive update for its homeland territory. Fortunately, its UK stores did well, particularly with womenswear.

“Sadly, Primark’s mainland European stores had a terrible time, with a large decline in sales. Even the US stores were volatile. When all the different territories are factored in, Primark has disappointed big time and forced management to slash prices to rock bottom levels to clear inventories and stop its stores from gathering dust. It’s a far cry from the halcyon days where Primark could do no wrong.

“It puts parent company Associated British Foods in a difficult situation. Normally it would have other parts of its group to pick up the slack, but the food arm hasn’t been doing that well. That’s led to a nasty profit warning for the group.”

Retail analyst Nick Bubb reminds us that ABF said last year it is considering spinning off Primark, saying:

ABF’s plan to spin off Primark as a separate business won’t be helped by today’s profit warning, although investors will take some comfort from the news that UK trading was surprisingly good…

‘Super Thursday’ wouldn’t be Super Thursday without an unscheduled update and today has brought a big profit warning, in the form of the conglomerate ABF, which has warned about ‘challenging’ trading at Primark in the 16 weeks to Jan 3rd (although, ironically, the problem is in in Europe, where LFL sales slumped by 5.7%, not the UK, where LFL sales were up by an encouraging 1.7%).

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